November's Bitter Pill

What will happen in the next four year's with the Bush factor at the helm of American politics?

I was just considering this recently as a friend of mine had asked me last night when I stumbled upon one of my older blogs. The frightening thing is that parts of that post are already ringing true as the reference to the Artic National Wildlife piece shows.

Upon further reflection though, there are probably a few things I may have left out, or overlooked. November's bitter pill is more than just something hard to swallow for us anymore. Worldwide attention to the U.S. election has never been so great, indicating the true impact this presidency has had in the last four years, not only in this country, but in virtually every corner of the globe.

Other developing countries, especially emerging democracies in eastern Europe see our election as justification for rigging their own. Sure you can call it a democracy, but it certainly doesn't look like one. The once pristine image of American Democracy is fading in the eyes of the world and people are understanding that you can still rig elections to maintain power.

The divided EU, whose economy and currency continue to gain momentum since November, will tear at the heart of the NATO alliance, and between eastern and western Europe. The imperial nations of the past can once again resume their colonial land-grabs in developing countries rich in natural resources. Tension across the Atlantic will only continue to weaken the U.S. as Europe will be seen as the more stable bet worldwide.

Powell's resignation signals a more conservative direction for American interests worldwide. Make no mistake, Condi Rice will be what Colin could never be; George W.'s yes man, or woman. This pattern of replacing moderate conservatives throughout the administration will just further divide our nation and those whom we come into contact with in the next four years.

This leaves just two possible scenarios for the international community. Complete subordination, or a combined resilient response to our contempt of the modern global community.

American's could soon be tried for War Crimes by an international court. "In recent months, there have been other indications that the international community is taking a harder line toward U.S. behavior.

At last July's Annual Session of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly, a resolution was passed condemning the use of torture in the U.S.-led global war on terrorism. The assembly called on all participating states to follow international commitments laid out in the Geneva Conventions and the UN Convention Against Torture.

Around the same time, the UN Security Council refused to extend the exemption from prosecution in the International Criminal Court for U.S. forces. Previously, U.S. forces were left exempt from prosecution in any UN-authorized mission. But after the torture scandal at Abu Ghraib prison, the UN Security Council let the exemption lapse, despite heavy lobbying by the United States.

Also in July, the International Court of Justice ruled that the wall being built by Israel and supported by the U.S. violates international law because it cuts into Palestinian land as determined by the 1967 borders between Israel and Palestine.

Perhaps seeking to capitalize on the momentum of the ICJ ruling on the Israeli wall, a group of 41 British members of parliament sent a letter to UN Secretary General Kofi Annan on July 20, asking him to seek an advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice on whether the war on Iraq was legal.

Hungary, Poland, and even England are beginning to turn away from us. Not just in terms of military support but also politically. The United States will continue to erode its respect to the rest of the world and stand even more isolated.

This general anti-American feeling will continue to spread into the commercial markets eventually lowering the dollar with respect the the Yen and Euro making it more difficult to repay even the interest on our national debt. The significance of this effect on the stock market could only be replaced with the privatization of Social Security.

But I wouldn't expect the EU to be very divided for long. Eastern-block nations will quickly seek to align themselves with their stronger neighbors politically. In fact, I would suspect that virtually the only nation to continue its full-support of US foreign policy would be Israel.

"Exactly how international relations will play out over the next four years may not be easy to predict. But it is clear that many nations won't tolerate what many consider the continued lawlessness of the United States. "